Megatrend

Energy

Five-dimensional energy security tracking reveals resource abundance guarantees nothing

Iranian researchers develop machine learning methodology to track energy security across five dimensions over twenty years, revealing that natural resource abundance provides no guarantee of energy system stability. The approach quantifies how geopolitical pressures, technological gaps, and economic disruptions create energy vulnerabilities even in energy-rich nations. Read the original article

Cross-Sector

Planning for perpetual ambiguity as gray zone conditions become the global baseline

Infrastructure designed for peace-war binaries fails when conflict becomes ambient. Gray zone conditions—persistent low-level disruption, cyber interference, and governance ambiguity—are now the global baseline, not the exception. This requires fundamental shifts from efficiency-focused design toward adaptive capacity that can operate across multiple threat states simultaneously. Read the original

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